Breeder's Cup Eve

At last, the moment we've all been waiting for, the Chalk Eating Weasel's Breeder's Cup Selections.

The first race on Friday is the 7 Furlong BC Filly and Mare Sprint. I saw on TVG today that Indyanne, whom I had the pleasure of watching demolish the G3 Azalea field at CRC this year, has a 90% probability of being scratched as she has developed a fever. I didn't have her as a win contender, but she certainly would've been a pace factor. As it is there is still plenty of pace in this race between Dearest Tricksi and Dream Rush. All this is to say that this race appears to set up for, and I'm going to go out on a limb here, Indian Blessing. Yes I know, a chalk eating weasel for sure. But just think, you could've paid some expert $20.00 or more to give you this same information I'm giving you for free. And here's the bonus.
Contenders: Indian Blessing at 9-5 so the overlay is 5-2, Zaftig is the 2nd choice, one of the few blemishes on IB's record at 5-2 overlay 4-1, and Intangaroo also has a sporting chance at fair odds of 5-1 overlay needs to be 8-1.

Note that my purpose is not to predict order of finish, but likelihood of winning. You'll have to come up with your own trifectas, but you can link these picks to the next races for pick 3's and 4's and, dare I say it, 6's.

1 Mile BC Juvenile Filly Turf

The Santa Anita Turf has been playing to speed for the Oak tree meet and I don't think anything will change that. Laragh, ridden by the crafty Edgar Prado, has all the speed here and is my favorite to win at fair odds of 2-1 and overlay odds of 3-1. I also like the G3 Canadian horse C Karma at 5-2 and 4-1 and the undefeated Maram at 4-1 and 6-1.

1 1/16 Mile BC Juvenile Filly

G1 Frizette winner Sky Diva is unbeaten in 2 outings. The running line comment for the Frizette reads, "Periodic hand urges". That means she has more in reserve if needed. Therefore I make her my fave @ 3-1 needing 9-2 for the overlay. Stardom Bound gets the home track advantage and is the 2nd choice @ 7-2 needing 5-1. C.S. Silk fired a monster fig. at Arlington Park last out and will be all elbow and asshole to the field with a repeat and is the 3rd choice @4-1 needing 6-1 for the overlay. I also have to throw in Dream Empress although I don't like the 12 post. Still Desormeaux is one of the best on turf and she is a G1 winner so @ 6-1 needing 9-1 would be worth a flyer.

1 1/4 BC Filly and Mare Turf

A couple of capable foreigners in here, but I'm staying with the good ol' US of A for this one. Wait A While no really I'll tell you later ; ) Wait a While has a G1 win over the course for the Pletcher-Velazquez connection. Last year you could take that combo to the bank. Lately... Still the horse has been nothing but consistent and fast and is my top choice at 3-1 needing 9-2. Dynaforce is the 2nd choice @7-2 needing 5-1, but if you believe in figure patterns some caution may in order as the read 94-103-93-103 suggesting DF may not bring her best this time. By the way, I use Brisnet's PP's as I've found the information and layout to be far superior to DRF. Mauralakana shows the opposite pattern to DF, so maybe I'll flip them, but now I have her at 9-2 needing 7-1. finally Forever Together has been showing good form at 7 different tracks for last 7 races. Give her 5-1 needing 8-1.

1 1/8 mile BC Ladies Classic

Who can beat Zenyatta, maybe the hard working Ginger Punch or the exotic Cocoa Beach, but I'm not betting on it. Zenyatta is even money for me needing 3-2 to bet her. Cocoa Beach gets the 2nd call @5-1 needing 8-1 and Ginger Punch gets 6-1 needing 9-1.

Now for the Boys, and some Girls

1 1/2 Mile BC Marathon

Sixties Icon has been having no trouble winning on the soggy Euro turf at this distance and I expect he'll transfer that form onto the artificial surface with no problem. I make 3-1 and will need 9-2. Delightful Kiss is the 2nd choice and I can think of no better ground saving type of rider than Calvin Borel to guide a horse in a race like this. Make him 7-2 needing 5-1. Zappa gets the home field advantage 9-2 need 7-1 and Big Booster is rested and seems capable of upsetting the field for a big price 6-1 and no less than 9-1.

Ok, I'm getting tired and I've been at this all day so here is the rest, no commentary just picks and odds.

6 1/2 F BC turf Sprint

Mr. Nightlinger 3-1 9-2
California Flag 3-1 9-2
Only Answer 5-1, 8-1
Fleeting Spirit 6-1, 9-1

1 Mile BC Dirt Mile

Well Armed 5-2, 4-1
Lewis Michael 4-1, 6-1
Surf Cat 5-1, 8-1
Pyro 6-1, 9-1

1 Mile BC Turf Mile

Daytona 3-1, 9-2
Whatthescript 7-2, 5-1
Precious Kitten 9-2, 7-1
Goldikova 5-1, 8-1

1 1/16 BC Juvenile

Bushranger 3-1, 9-2
Square Eddie 4-1, 6-1
Munnings 4-1, 6-1
Street Hero 6-1, 9-1

1 Mile BC Juvenile Turf

Bittel Road 8-5, 5-2
Grand Adventure 3-1, 9-2
Westphalia 9-2, 7-1

6F BC Sprint

Street Boss 3-1, 9-2
Black Seventeen 7-2, 5-1
Cost of Freedom 9-2, 7-1
Fabulous Strike 6-1, 9-1

1 1/2 Mile BC Turf

Conduit 2-1, 3-1
Soldier of Fortune 5-2, 4-1
Grand Courtier 4-1, 6-1

1 1/4 BC Classic

Curlin (who else) 8-5, 5-2
Go Between 6-1, 9-1
Casino Drive 6-1, 9-1
Duke of Marmalade 6-1, 9-1

I'll be in seat 52 of the Super Corral at in the Silks Simulcast Center at Gulfstream Racecourse tomorrow and Saturday if you want to come buy me a Woodford Reserve